Senior Trader - Prediction Markets | Experienced Hire
at Susquehanna
Posted 17 days ago
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Senior Trader focused on prediction markets and real-time modeling, responsible for designing and deploying models that generate real-time fair values for uncertain domains. The role involves prototyping in Python (pandas, numpy), working with engineers to productionize models, and continuously monitoring and improving model performance. The trader will identify market-taking opportunities, assess data needs and sourcing strategies, and address edge cases and modeling risks to ensure robust trading operations. Strong probabilistic reasoning, prediction-market expertise, and cross-functional communication with trading, engineering, and data teams are required.
- Compensation
- Not specified
- City
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- Country
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Currency: Not specified
Full Job Description
We are seeking a highly analytical and technically strong Trader with deep expertise in prediction markets and real-time modeling. The ideal candidate combines strong trading intuition, robust statistical and programming skills, and the ability to translate ambiguous problems into structured, high-quality models that drive profitable decision-making.
Key Responsibilities
- Design and develop complex models to generate real-time fair values for intricate, uncertain domains (e.g., weather, event-driven outcomes, or probabilistic systems)
- Identify edge cases, structural pitfalls, and modeling risks, proactively addressing them to ensure robustness and operational stability
- Assess data needs and sourcing strategies, determining what inputs are required for accurate forecasting and collaborating with relevant teams to acquire them
- Build initial model prototypes in Python, using libraries such as pandas and numpy, and partner closely with developers to productionize these models for real-world trading
- Monitor, validate, and iterate on production models, ensuring strong performance and continuously improving predictive accuracy and trading outcomes
- Identify, evaluate, and execute market-take opportunities arising from model insights and prediction-market dynamics
- Collaborate with engineering teams to optimize trading strategies, enhance infrastructure, and scale automated decision-making
What we're looking for
- Strong understanding of trading concepts, decision science, and probabilistic reasoning
- Extensive experience with prediction markets, including market structure, pricing mechanics, and liquidity dynamics
- Proficiency in Python, with deep working knowledge of pandas and numpy
- Ability to think critically about uncertainty, model assumptions, and real-world edge cases
- Strong communication skills and the ability to work cross-functionally with traders, developers, and data teams
What’s In It For You
- Relaxed dress code (jeans and sneakers are the norm and team jerseys every Friday)
- Fully stocked kitchens for breakfast, lunch, snacks, and beverages
- A 40,000 square-foot state of the art fitness facility with brand-new equipment, multi-purpose courts, group exercise classes, and locker room spaces
- Discounts for dining, entertainment, shopping, travel, and attractions
- Social events such as a poker tournament, holiday party, company outings, and more
- On-site Wellness Center
- On-site services such as a mailroom, barber, dry cleaning, and car maintenance
- Opportunities to give back to the community through Susquehanna sponsored events and donation drives
If you're a recruiting agency and want to partner with us, please reach out to recruiting@sig.com. Any resume or referral submitted in the absence of a signed agreement will not be eligible for an agency fee.
